Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 215.827533 242.547558 272.074877 307.263282 348.235294 394.650926 451.516508
2025-02-16 171.462371 205.842524 247.102984 300.808336 369.659754 456.061143 574.447447
2025-02-23 146.628667 183.660526 230.558431 295.318000 384.041214 503.791151 682.003474
2025-03-02 133.573042 173.247508 225.786469 302.062604 412.752862 572.133213 827.938382
2025-03-09 121.406273 161.973784 217.688395 302.008585 430.472297 626.071894 961.763269
2025-03-16 109.989925 150.199784 207.120598 296.338858 438.048016 664.591471 1077.358412
2025-03-23 102.263245 142.714417 201.627305 297.095892 454.949063 719.656105 1231.764759
2025-03-30 94.077525 133.692732 192.781113 291.281438 459.875378 754.653624 1356.277812
2025-04-06 88.084331 127.371828 187.335040 290.086656 472.053737 803.791223 1518.822887
2025-04-13 80.360075 117.738919 175.793527 277.395678 462.134036 810.136864 1593.604565
2025-04-20 78.154038 116.536074 177.563162 287.466425 494.650894 903.105559 1881.133510
2025-04-27 76.453506 115.961964 180.234699 299.295319 531.991693 1012.423206 2238.804698
2025-05-04 72.536010 111.572608 176.288950 299.022688 546.306621 1077.426442 2511.165516
2025-05-11 67.847383 105.582461 169.134530 292.065128 546.223132 1110.959672 2711.958978
2025-05-18 63.882739 100.533965 163.208304 286.796342 548.877930 1151.211730 2945.528980
2025-05-25 62.029436 98.967497 163.326851 293.300207 577.813165 1260.297789 3427.998997
2025-06-01 59.395005 95.846368 160.352911 293.248150 592.066981 1335.641353 3833.681107
2025-06-08 56.252686 91.621113 155.013637 287.780060 593.045221 1376.465070 4138.040956
2025-06-15 54.155636 89.137042 152.750364 288.510222 608.796260 1460.898381 4641.314400
2025-06-22 51.439221 85.363059 147.756556 282.901764 608.320329 1499.469782 4984.837721
2025-06-29 49.444506 82.801564 144.930221 281.749195 618.864361 1572.910853 5511.891786
2025-07-06 46.331922 77.997276 137.406730 269.504140 599.398189 1551.322383 5611.275063
2025-07-13 45.828086 78.060623 139.532415 279.221403 638.926854 1724.303444 6719.655913